On the trajectory of cyclones likely to affect the Mexican Republic

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ENRIQUE BUENDÍA C.
FRANCISCO VILLICAÑA C.
ORLANDO DELGADO D.
EUGENIO DEL VALLE S.
FERNANDO GÓMEZ ACOSTA

Abstract

Using the filtered baroclinic model of the Center for Atmospheric Sciences of the National University of Mexico, an application to forecast hurricane tracks possibly affecting the Mexican Republic is presented. This application solves the baroclinic equations given by Buendía et al. (1984) over the WMO Region IV using a lattice of 69 X 77 points over a Lambert projection tangent on 30º. The results are favorable and useful for Mexican activities.

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