Multi-model ensemble forecasting of rainfall over Indian monsoon region

L. ZAMUDIO, E. J. METZGER, P. J. HOGAN

Abstract

An operational version of the Navy Layered Ocean Model is used to study the generation of a coastally trapped wave forced by a strong and intermittent wind event at the Northern Bight of Panamá. This study identifies the winds at the Northern Bight of Panamá as a new source for the generation of coastally trapped waves along the west coast of the North American continent. The results indicate that after its generation, the wave propagated poleward increasing the sea level > 10 cm, producing surface currents > 50 cm/s, and traveling > 1200 km. The generation and existence of the coastally trapped wave and the model results are validated with sea surface height coastal tide gauge observations.

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