Analysis of the water supply-demand relationship in the Sinú-Caribe basin, Colombia, under different climate change scenarios

J. E. OSPINA NOREÑA, C. GAY GARCÍA, A. C. CONDE, GUSTAVO SÁNCHEZ TORRES

Abstract

The water resource supply-demand relationship in the Sinú-Caribe Basin, Colombia, was analyzed based on current values and values projected for 2015 and 2025 by the Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y de Estudios Ambientales de Colombia ). The projections included estimated changes in the relationship based on general circulation climate change models under A2 greenhouse gas emission scenarios. The WEAP (Water Evaluation and Planning) System was applied to analyze and simulate different water systems and to guide management policies in order to provide tools, criteria and decision-making elements for devising adaptive strategies under adverse conditions.

Keywords

Supply, demand, water, basin, general circulation models, climate change

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